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Loading sightings, measured outcomes and current factor weights.

Loading Alpha. The latest ranking shows within a few seconds while live checks keep running.

Continuous learning

Every Alpha sighting already records the score's full component breakdown. Once 24h has genuinely passed, StonkScout checks the mint's real market cap against it and asks: did this factor's value actually correlate with what happened next? The answer nudges that factor's weight, bounded and gradual, and shown here exactly as computed, never silently.

How it works

Experimental calibration. A correlation shows what happened in this sample; it does not prove prediction. Negative overall correlations mean that screen is not yet producing reliable alpha. Adjustments stay bounded and gradual while more outcomes mature.

Sightings tracked

2,715

24h outcomes measured

1,302

Min. sample to act

Bounded adjustment range

0.70×–1.30×

How Alpha keeps improving

18 of 28 factors reweighted so far

1Score
A sighted coin's factors feed its screen's Scout Score.
2Wait 24h
Every sighting gets the same fixed 24h horizon.
3Measure
Its real market cap at that moment is recorded.
4Reweight
With 20+ outcomes, factors that called it gain weight (up to 1.30×); ones that didn't lose it (down to 0.70×).

Reinforced Trimmed Still collecting outcomesLines are Alpha's real factors, thickness is today's effective weight. Sped up: each real cycle takes at least 24h.

New launches

482 sighted · 385 measuredOverall score −0.13

Component	Base weight	Sample	Correlation	Adjustment	Effective weight
24h volume	1	189/20	−0.04	0.99×adjusted	1.0
Turnover	2	189/20	+0.09	1.03×adjusted	2.1
Holders paid	4	189

Overlooked

76 sighted · 62 measuredOverall score +0.11

Component	Base weight	Sample	Correlation	Adjustment	Effective weight
Below peak	2	51/20	+0.10	1.03×adjusted	2.1
Current turnover	2	51/20	+0.06	1.02×adjusted	2.0
Track record	1	51/20	+0.05	1.01×adjusted	1.0
Still trading	3	34/20	+0.26	1.08×adjusted	3.2
Momentum	3	34/20	+0.03	1.01×adjusted	3.0

Potential CTO

63 sighted · 58 measuredOverall score N/A

Component	Base weight	Sample	Correlation	Adjustment	Effective weight
First pair	4	6/20	N/A	1.00×	4.0
Name claim	3	6/20	N/A	1.00×	3.0
Peak interest	3	6/20	N/A	1.00×	3.0
Holder base	2	6/20	N/A	1.00×	2.0
Free float	2	6/20	N/A	1.00×	2.0
Graduated	1	6/20	N/A	1.00×	1.0
Below peak	1	6/20	N/A	1.00×	1.0
Survived	1	6/20	N/A	1.00×	1.0
Still tradable	1	6/20	N/A	1.00×	1.0

DEGEN MODE

2,029 sighted · 732 measuredOverall score −0.15

Component	Base weight	Sample	Correlation	Adjustment	Effective weight
Known whale bought in	30	63/20	−0.09	0.98×adjusted	29.3
Curve pace	20	60/20	−0.21	0.93×adjusted	18.6
Distinct holders	15	63/20	−0.14	0.96×adjusted	14.3
Holder concentration	15	27/20	+0.00	1.00×	15.0