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Alpha track record

Every coin gets one entry: the market cap it had the moment StonkScout first showed it on an Alpha screen, and the highest market cap it's reached since. Written once and never revised, showing what the screens actually found rather than a highlight reel assembled after the fact. Not a recommendation: most launches on every screen still fail.

The whole cohort, not a highlight reel

Short record: tracking began 4d ago (4 days of data). Most outcomes here are early and the ranges wide; treat these figures as preliminary.

Every coin in this selection (1,410 of 2,788 recorded), including the ones that went to zero. “Now” is the latest market cap ÷ the market cap when first shown; “best historical outcome” is the highest since. A coin can have peaked at 3x and still be down now. First shown between 4d ago and 1d ago; median age 2d.

Median now

0.67x

95% range 0.63x–0.71x

Above 1x now

8%

95% range 7%–10%

Down over 50% now

38%

95% range 35%–40%

2x or more now

2%

at least double

Outcomes measured

1,287

123 without a reading yet

Coins in selection

1,410

of 2,788 ever

Median best historical

1.00x

over 1,287 measured

Best historical 2x+

15%

doubled at some point

By screenMinimum sample:any 10+30+100+

Outcomes by Alpha screen
Screen	Coins	Measured	Median now	Above 1x now	Down >50% now	Median best historical
Top New · Degen Mode	828	733	0.86x	6%	14%	1.00x
Top New	396	392	0.24x	8%	78%	1.01x
Graduating	65	65	0.30x	9%	85%	1.04x
Overlooked	63	63	0.60x	17%	38%	1.43x
Potential CTO	58	34	0.96x	35%	0%	1.05x

Past outcomes of coins these screens surfaced, not a prediction for any coin shown now. Multiples are market-cap moves before any trading costs; token taxes, price impact and fees would lower what a trader actually kept.

1,378 coins first shown less than 1d ago are hidden by the age filter, so their outcomes don't skew the figures above.

Tracking since 4d ago · 2,788 coins recorded so far. Peak-since figures come from Jupiter market-cap candles (15-minute resolution for the first ~10 days, hourly beyond that), re-checked in the background: every 10 minutes for coins first shown in the last 6 hours, every 30 minutes up to 2 days, every 2 hours after that. 2,787 of 2,788 checked so far; a coin without a reading says why, never a guessed number.

All New Overlooked CTO DEGEN MODE

Current multiple Best historical outcome

Any age 1d+ old 3d+ old 7d+ old

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